🏆 Matchup Predictorwho's actually going to win?
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Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · 8/6 - 7:10 PM EDT

The Red Sox are favored, expected to win by about 1.
⚾ Nudged by today's starting pitchers, on top of team strength.
🚑 Nudged for a key player being out tonight, on top of team strength.
🌡️ 85°F 💨 17 mph gusts 🌧️ 28% precip at Fenway Park
🎯 Red Sox's starter has the clear ERA edge today; windy enough to matter for fly balls.

Chicago White Sox

Record: 59-52 · away

⚾ Probable pitcher: Luis Castillo (5.06 ERA, 3-9)

85/100
Team Strength Score

42.1%Slight Underdog · chance to win

VS
Our predicted final margin
Red Sox by ~1.2
Home team's odds, a few different ways
Us57.9%
ESPN65.7%

Boston Red Sox

Record: 60-51 · home

⚾ Probable pitcher: Ranger Suarez (3.15 ERA, 4-3)

98/100
Team Strength Score

57.9%Slight Edge · chance to win

How each team's form has trended (last 5 games)

Going up means the team's been playing better than expected lately; going down means worse.

CHW
BOS

Players to know

Real season stats for each team's top performers, plus anyone banged up — useful if you've got these guys in a lineup.

CHW
  • Batting AverageSam Antonacci.274
  • Home RunsColson Montgomery25
  • Runs Batted InMiguel Vargas66
  • Earned Run AverageSean Burke3.04
  • WinsDavis Martin9
  • StrikeoutsSean Burke140
Austin Hays 60-Day-IL
Braden Montgomery Day-To-Day
Tyler Gilbert 15-Day-IL
Prelander Berroa 60-Day-IL
Ky Bush 60-Day-IL
BOS
  • Batting AverageCeddanne Rafaela.289
  • Home RunsWillson Contreras23
  • Runs Batted InWillson Contreras67
  • Earned Run AverageSonny Gray2.93
  • WinsSonny Gray13
  • StrikeoutsPayton Tolle110
Triston Casas 60-Day-IL
Johan Oviedo 60-Day-IL
Kutter Crawford 60-Day-IL
Trevor Story 60-Day-IL
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 10-Day-IL

🎰 Player Props

No player props posted for this game yet — check back closer to game time.