🏆 Matchup Predictorwho's actually going to win?

🏆 MLB Standings & Playoff Odds

Real current standings, plus what our model thinks happens from here: we simulate the rest of the season thousands of times using the same win probabilities behind every prediction on this site, and see how often each team ends up in playoff position.

Playoff odds use a simplified rule — top 6 teams by simulated win total within each group — not the exact real tiebreakers (head-to-head record, division-winner precedence, and so on) every league actually uses. Treat this as a real, honest estimate, not an exact forecast.

American League

Team Record Games Left Projected Final Playoff Odds
Tampa Bay Rays 65-46 69 99 wins (94–105)
98.9%
New York Yankees 63-49 67 97 wins (91–102)
94.5%
Boston Red Sox 60-51 69 96 wins (91–101)
91.2%
Chicago White Sox 59-52 67 93 wins (88–99)
78.0%
Houston Astros 58-55 64 91 wins (86–96)
60.0%
Cleveland Guardians 57-56 66 90 wins (85–95)
45.1%
Minnesota Twins 56-57 66 89 wins (84–94)
32.2%
Detroit Tigers 54-58 66 88 wins (83–93)
25.7%
Seattle Mariners 55-58 66 88 wins (83–93)
25.4%
Texas Rangers 55-57 67 88 wins (83–93)
23.9%
Baltimore Orioles 54-58 67 87 wins (82–92)
19.2%
Toronto Blue Jays 52-60 65 85 wins (79–90)
5.7%
Kansas City Royals 46-67 65 78 wins (73–84)
0.2%
Athletics 45-67 67 77 wins (72–82)
0.0%
Los Angeles Angels 43-69 67 76 wins (71–81)
0.1%

National League

Team Record Games Left Projected Final Playoff Odds
Milwaukee Brewers 69-42 68 103 wins (98–108)
99.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers 69-43 67 102 wins (96–107)
98.5%
Atlanta Braves 67-45 67 101 wins (96–106)
98.5%
Chicago Cubs 63-49 66 96 wins (91–101)
81.7%
Arizona Diamondbacks 59-53 67 93 wins (87–98)
51.6%
Philadelphia Phillies 59-53 67 93 wins (88–98)
51.5%
San Diego Padres 58-54 68 93 wins (87–98)
48.9%
Miami Marlins 58-55 65 91 wins (86–97)
34.7%
Pittsburgh Pirates 56-57 66 88 wins (83–94)
10.6%
St. Louis Cardinals 55-57 67 88 wins (83–93)
9.2%
Cincinnati Reds 53-58 68 87 wins (82–92)
8.0%
Washington Nationals 55-58 66 87 wins (82–92)
7.1%
San Francisco Giants 47-65 67 81 wins (75–86)
0.3%
New York Mets 47-66 66 79 wins (74–84)
0.1%
Colorado Rockies 45-67 67 79 wins (74–84)
0.1%