🏆 NFL Standings & Playoff Odds

Real current standings, plus what our model thinks happens from here: we simulate the rest of the season thousands of times using the same win probabilities behind every prediction on this site, and see how often each team ends up in playoff position.

Playoff odds use a simplified rule — top 7 teams by simulated win total within each group — not the exact real tiebreakers (head-to-head record, division-winner precedence, and so on) every league actually uses. Treat this as a real, honest estimate, not an exact forecast.

American Football Conference

Team	Record	Games Left	Projected Final	Playoff Odds
New England Patriots	0-0	17	11 wins (8–13)	80.5%
Houston Texans	0-0	17	11 wins (8–13)	73.5%
Buffalo Bills	0-0	17	10 wins (8–12)	79.2%
Denver Broncos	0-0	17	10 wins (8–13)	78.2%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-0	17	10 wins (8–13)	69.8%
Indianapolis Colts	0-0	17	9 wins (6–11)	51.9%
Baltimore Ravens	0-0	17	9 wins (6–12)	44.0%
Los Angeles Chargers	0-0	17	9 wins (6–11)	40.1%
Cincinnati Bengals	0-0	17	8 wins (5–10)	38.5%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-0	17	8 wins (6–11)	37.4%
Cleveland Browns	0-0	17	8 wins (5–10)	34.2%
Kansas City Chiefs	0-0	17	8 wins (5–10)	32.5%
Miami Dolphins	0-0	17	7 wins (5–10)	20.9%
Tennessee Titans	0-0	17	6 wins (4–9)	10.8%
New York Jets	0-0	17	6 wins (3–8)	4.2%
Las Vegas Raiders	0-0	17	5 wins (3–8)	4.5%

National Football Conference

Team	Record	Games Left	Projected Final	Playoff Odds
Seattle Seahawks	0-0	17	12 wins (10–14)	92.6%
Los Angeles Rams	0-0	17	11 wins (8–13)	83.2%
Detroit Lions	0-0	17	10 wins (7–12)	67.3%
San Francisco 49ers	0-0	17	10 wins (7–12)	56.5%
Chicago Bears	0-0	17	9 wins (6–11)	56.0%
Philadelphia Eagles	0-0	17	9 wins (7–12)	53.0%
Minnesota Vikings	0-0	17	9 wins (6–12)	49.5%
Green Bay Packers	0-0	17	9 wins (6–11)	45.5%
Atlanta Falcons	0-0	17	8 wins (6–11)	47.1%
New Orleans Saints	0-0	17	8 wins (6–11)	32.4%
Dallas Cowboys	0-0	17	8 wins (5–10)	31.4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-0	17	8 wins (6–11)	30.6%
New York Giants	0-0	17	7 wins (5–10)	20.9%
Carolina Panthers	0-0	17	7 wins (5–10)	16.8%
Washington Commanders	0-0	17	7 wins (4–9)	10.2%
Arizona Cardinals	0-0	17	6 wins (4–9)	6.8%