ChaBoi Sportswho's actually going to win?

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

M&T Bank Stadium · 10/4 - 1:00 PM EDT

The Ravens are favored, expected to win by about 9.
62°F 9 mph gusts 29% precip at M&T Bank Stadium
Ravens rate as one of the biggest mismatches on today's slate.

Tennessee Titans

Record: 0-3 · away

1/100
Team Strength Score

20.8%Underdog · chance to win

Vegas thinks: 16.8% (+470)

VS
Betting-value note (separate from our actual pick above): the markets may be underpricing the Titans compared to what our model thinks.
Our predicted final margin
Ravens by ~9.3
Vegas line: BAL -11.5
We project a total of ~42.4
Vegas total: 42.5 · we lean UNDER
Sportsbook lines, for comparison only — not betting advice.
Home team's odds, a few different ways
Us79.2%
ESPN83.8%
Vegas83.2%

Baltimore Ravens

Record: 2-1 · home

78/100
Team Strength Score

79.2%Favored · chance to win

Vegas thinks: 83.2% (-650)

How each team's form has trended (last 20 games)

Going up means the team's been playing better than expected lately; going down means worse.

TEN
TEN: 1378.7
BAL
BAL: 1555.9

Players to know

Season stats for each team's top performers, plus anyone banged up — useful if you've got these guys in a lineup.

TEN
  • Passing YardsCam Ward55/88, 504 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsTony Pollard38 CAR, 173 YDS
  • Receiving YardsCarnell Tate13 REC, 123 YDS
  • SacksJeffery Simmons2
  • TacklesAnthony Hill Jr.34
Tyjae Spears Questionable
John Franklin-Myers Questionable
Jackson Slater Injured Reserve
Fernando Carmona Injured Reserve
Milo Eifler Injured Reserve
BAL
  • Passing YardsLamar Jackson53/76, 745 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsDerrick Henry66 CAR, 301 YDS, 6 TD
  • Receiving YardsZay Flowers10 REC, 234 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksTavius Robinson2
  • TacklesRoquan Smith28
Chris Moore Questionable
Jovaughn Gwyn Out
Trey Hendrickson Questionable
Ronnie Stanley Questionable
Ethan Pocic Out

Player Props

Real sportsbook lines, ranked by how low tonight's number looks against each player's normal season average.

How to read this

The number after "o" is the target (e.g. "o0.5" means more than 0.5). When shown, the number in parentheses is the payout odds (negative means the book expects it to happen more often than not), and "opened" is where the line started before it moved. Players are ranked within each stat by comparing their normal season average to tonight's number — the bigger the gap, the more that number looks low for what they usually do. Not a prediction for tonight specifically (no adjustment for who's pitching, weather, or a hot streak, though home run and total bases numbers are scaled for tonight's ballpark), just a "does this look low" check. Open "Why this number" on any player for detail. Players with no average shown couldn't be confidently matched to season stats. Different lines can come from different sportsbooks, so each card names its source.

Pass Yds

via DraftKings
  1. Lamar Jackson o217.5 opened 222.5
  2. Cam Ward o184.5 opened 186.5

Rush Yds

via DraftKings
  1. Derrick Henry o99.5 opened 93.5
  2. Tony Pollard o45.5 opened 47.5
  3. Lamar Jackson o31.5 opened 32.5
  4. Tyjae Spears o14.5 opened 15.5
  5. Cam Ward o10.5

Reception Yds

via DraftKings
  1. Zay Flowers o67.5
  2. Carnell Tate o42.5 opened 41.5
  3. Wan'Dale Robinson o37.5 opened 36.5
  4. Mark Andrews o36.5 opened 40.5
  5. Rashod Bateman o31.5 opened 33.5
  6. Elic Ayomanor o19.5 opened 16.5
  7. Gunnar Helm o18.5 opened 19.5
  8. Derrick Henry o9.5 opened 7.5

Receptions

via DraftKings
  1. Zay Flowers o5.5
  2. Carnell Tate o4.5
  3. Mark Andrews o3.5
  4. Wan'Dale Robinson o3.5 opened 4.5
  5. Rashod Bateman o2.5
  6. Gunnar Helm o2.5
  7. Elic Ayomanor o1.5
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